Retail Sales Up, Initial Jobless Claims Down

Reports from various government agencies released late this week indicate important improvement in various sectors of the economy, including retail sales and, surprising, employment.

Jobless Numbers

The Department of Labor reported on November 5th that initial jobless claims for the previous week fell to 512,000, a drop of 20,000 from the previous week. And, perhaps most promising, that number represents the lowest number of new filings since January.

Despite this relatively good news, though, October’s unemployment numbers show that total unemployment levels are at 10.2%, the highest in 26 years. And that number only includes those unemployed actively looking for work—and excludes those who have taken on part-time jobs to make ends meet.

Retail Picking Up… For Some Companies

On the other side of the recession coin, sales improved for a variety of retailers: Costco Wholesale Corp., Gap, Inc. and TJX Cos. (of T.J. Maxx and Marshall’s) all posted better-than-expected gains, according to sources.

Other prominent retail outlets, though (including Limited Brands, Wet Seal and Children’s Place), reported lower sales numbers than a month ago.

A New American Consumer?

A recent msnbc.com article suggests that recession-shy Americans have altered the way they shop—and that may have some truth in it. Look for:

  • Value-focused shopping: Uncertainty in employment has led to less spending across the board – even among the relatively wealthy.
  • Safe retail offers: Rather than gamble on new or must-have products, many retailers are reportedly sticking to safer gift items this season.
  • Less interested shoppers: The result could be a cycle of decreasing interest among buyers – with little to clamor for, American shoppers may prefer to save their shopping sprees for a better time.

Whether or not this assessment of American consumption proves true for this holiday season, the recent numbers offer a glimmer of hope – but only that. After all, even the positive changes in the last few weeks have been modest. After the economic conditions of the past several months, it doesn’t take much to look good.

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